---
title: "Discharge exceedance and turbine criterion"
subject: "Power Plant Design"
chapter: 3
key: "semester_8/power_plant_design:exceedance-turbine-criterion"
source: https://www.bctengineer.com/q/semester_8/power_plant_design/exceedance-turbine-criterion
site: BCT Engineering
---

# Discharge exceedance and turbine criterion

Power Plant Design · Chapter 3: Hydro Power Plant Design

- Asked in: 2072 Magh, 8 marks
- Answer checked by Claude Opus 5.5 (high effort) on 2026-10-14
- Page: https://www.bctengineer.com/q/semester_8/power_plant_design/exceedance-turbine-criterion
- Whole chapter: https://www.bctengineer.com/md/semester_8/power_plant_design/chapter-3

## Question

What do you mean by discharge exceedance? Describe the criterion for selecting turbine in hydro-electric power plant.

## Short answer

Discharge exceedance is percentage of time a flow is equalled or exceeded, read from flow duration curve; ROR plants often designed at Q40-Q45. Turbine selection criteria: net head, specific speed, discharge variation, part-load efficiency, cavitation, sediment, cost.

## Answer

#### Discharge exceedance
**Discharge exceedance** is the percentage of time a given river discharge is **equalled or exceeded**. It is read from the **flow duration curve (FDC)**. For example, $Q_{45} = 10$ m³/s means the river flow is 10 m³/s or more for 45% of the time (about 164 days a year).

- Low exceedance (e.g. $Q_{25}$) → large flow, available for a short time.
- High exceedance (e.g. $Q_{95}$) → small but dependable (firm) flow.
- In Nepal, ROR projects are usually designed at about $Q_{40}$–$Q_{45}$; firm power is judged from $Q_{90}$–$Q_{95}$.
- Exceedance is found by ranking the recorded flows in descending order and computing $P = \dfrac{m}{n+1}\times 100\%$ for rank $m$ out of $n$ values.
- The choice of design exceedance is a trade-off: a lower exceedance gives more installed capacity and energy but a lower plant factor and higher cost per kW.

```text
 Q
 |\
 | \
 |  \___ Q45
 |      \_____ Q65
 |            \______ Q95
 +---------------------> % exceedance
```

#### Criteria for selecting turbine
1. **Net head:** Pelton for high head (50–1300 m), Francis for medium head (10–350 m), Kaplan/propeller for low head (2–40 m). Crossflow (Michell–Banki) and Turgo are used in small plants.
2. **Specific speed:** $N_s = N\sqrt{P}/H^{5/4}$; Pelton 10–35, Francis 60–300, Kaplan 300–1000 (metric, kW).
3. **Discharge and its variation:** if flow varies greatly, choose a turbine with good part-load efficiency (Pelton, Kaplan) or use several units.
4. **Part-load operation:** Francis efficiency falls below about 40–50% load; Pelton remains efficient down to 20%.
5. **Rotational speed:** higher speed gives smaller generator; limited by cavitation and runaway speed.
6. **Cavitation:** Thoma's coefficient fixes the setting below tailwater for reaction turbines.
7. **Sediment and abrasion:** important for Himalayan rivers.
8. **Cost, efficiency, maintenance and local experience.**

#### Example
For a site with $H_{net} = 250$ m and $Q_{45} = 6$ m³/s split into two units of 3 m³/s, unit power $\approx 9.81 \times 3 \times 250 \times 0.9 \approx 6.6$ MW. At 750 rpm, $N_s = 750\sqrt{6622}/250^{5/4} \approx 61$, at the boundary of multi-jet Pelton and slow Francis; the Pelton is preferred if the river is silty or long part-load running is expected.

## Check yourself

The answer's key points as multiple-choice questions, with the correct option and why.

1. What does Q45 = 10 m3/s mean?
   A. Flow is exactly 10 m3/s for 45 days
   B. Flow is 10 m3/s or more for 45% of the time
   C. Flow is below 10 m3/s for 45% of the time
   D. The average annual flow is 45 m3/s
   Answer: B. Exceedance is the percentage of time a flow is equalled or exceeded. (Key point: Definition)

2. Which exceedance is used to judge firm power?
   A. Q10-Q20
   B. Q40-Q45
   C. Q90-Q95
   D. Q1
   Answer: C. High exceedance means small but dependable flow. (Key point: Firm flow)

3. How is exceedance computed from ranked flows?
   A. P = n/m x 100%
   B. P = (n+1)/m
   C. P = m x n
   D. P = m/(n+1) x 100%
   Answer: D. Flows are ranked descending and rank m out of n gives the exceedance. (Key point: Exceedance formula)

4. If river flow varies greatly, which turbines are preferred?
   A. Pelton or Kaplan, for good part-load efficiency
   B. Fixed-blade propeller
   C. Francis only, at a single unit
   D. Any turbine, since part-load does not matter
   Answer: A. Pelton and Kaplan keep efficiency high over a wide load range. (Key point: Part-load choice)

## Related in Power Plant Design

- [Combined cycle gas turbine versus hydro](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_8%2Fpower_plant_design%3Accgt-vs-hydro) — Power Plant Design, chapter 1
- [Components of a medium head high discharge plant](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_8%2Fpower_plant_design%3Amedium-head-high-discharge-components) — Power Plant Design, chapter 3, asked 2×
- [Design exceedance Q45% versus Q65%](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_8%2Fpower_plant_design%3Aq45-vs-q65-exceedance) — Power Plant Design, chapter 3
- [Design: 550 m head plant, transformer quotation](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_8%2Fpower_plant_design%3Adesign-2077-550m-quotation) — Power Plant Design, chapter 4, asked 3×
- [Design: 245 m head plant, standby generator](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_8%2Fpower_plant_design%3Adesign-2073-245m-standby) — Power Plant Design, chapter 4, asked 14×
- [Design: 250 m head plant at Q25%](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_8%2Fpower_plant_design%3Adesign-2072-250m-q25) — Power Plant Design, chapter 4, asked 14×

## Related in other subjects

- [Reheat gas turbine power plant](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_7%2Fpower_plant_equipment%3Agt-reheat-plant) — Power Plant Equipment, chapter 6
- [Pumped storage plant: power, turbine, setting, surge](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_7%2Fhydropower_engineering%3Apumped-storage-turbine-surge-numerical) — Hydropower Engineering, chapter 7
- [Operation of pumped storage hydro plant](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_7%2Fpower_plant_equipment%3Apump-storage-operation) — Power Plant Equipment, chapter 1, asked 2×
- [Micro hydro net head, power and energy](https://www.bctengineer.com/question.md?key=semester_6%2Fenergy_resources%3Amicro-hydro-power-output-numerical) — Energy Resources, chapter 5
