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PCO analysis with M/M/1 (150 persons)

Short answer

Kendall’s notation A/B/C/K/N/D describes queue: arrival process, service distribution, servers, capacity, population, discipline. M/M/1 analysis: λ = 150/24 = 6.25 calls/h, μ = 40/h, ρ = 0.156, W_q = 0.278 min, L_q = 0.029 persons. The booth is lightly loaded; a second PCO is not justified by average daily traffic.

Explain Kendall's notation. A PCO is installed in the busy part of the town. 150 persons use the booth every day. The average holding time for the call is 1.5 minutes. There is a suggestion from the public that the waiting period is very long and they need another PCO in the same locality. Analyze using M/M/1 queue.

Kendall's notation

Kendall's notation A/B/C/K/N/D describes a queue: A = arrival process, B = service-time distribution, C = number of servers, K = system capacity, N = source population, D = queue discipline. M = Markovian (Poisson arrivals / exponential service), D = deterministic, G = general. Defaults are K = ∞, N = ∞, FCFS, so M/M/1 means Poisson arrivals, exponential holding time, one server, unlimited queue, first come first served.

PCO analysis with M/M/1

Assumption: the PCO (public call office) is open 24 hours and the 150 calls arrive at random (Poisson) over the day; holding time is exponential. (A 12-hour working day is checked afterwards.)

Parameters

λ=15024=6.25 calls/hμ=601.5=40 calls/hρ=λμ=6.2540=0.15625\begin{aligned} \lambda &= \frac{150}{24} = 6.25\ \text{calls/h} \\ \mu &= \frac{60}{1.5} = 40\ \text{calls/h} \\ \rho &= \frac{\lambda}{\mu} = \frac{6.25}{40} = 0.15625 \end{aligned}

M/M/1 results

P(wait)=ρ=0.156L=ρ1−ρ=0.185 persons in systemLq=ρ21−ρ=0.0289 persons waitingWq=ρμ−λ=0.1562533.75 h=0.278 min≈16.7 sW=1μ−λ=133.75 h=1.78 min\begin{aligned} P(\text{wait}) &= \rho = 0.156 \\ L &= \frac{\rho}{1-\rho} = 0.185\ \text{persons in system} \\ L_q &= \frac{\rho^2}{1-\rho} = 0.0289\ \text{persons waiting} \\ W_q &= \frac{\rho}{\mu-\lambda} = \frac{0.15625}{33.75}\ \text{h} = 0.278\ \text{min} \approx 16.7\ \text{s} \\ W &= \frac{1}{\mu-\lambda} = \frac{1}{33.75}\ \text{h} = 1.78\ \text{min} \end{aligned}

Check for a 12-hour day (λ=12.5\lambda = 12.5/h):

Quantity24 h day12 h day
ρ\rho (booth busy)0.1560.3125
P(wait)15.6%31.3%
LqL_q (persons)0.0290.142
WqW_q (all callers)0.28 min0.68 min
WW (in system)1.78 min2.18 min

Conclusion

The booth is busy only 16–31% of the time and the average wait is under one minute, with on average far less than one person in the queue. So, on the basis of average daily traffic, a second PCO is not justified; the complaint arises from short busy-hour peaks when many people arrive together. A second booth would be needed only if busy-hour measurements show ρ\rho approaching about 0.7–0.8 (for example, if more than about 28–32 calls arrive in one hour, where WqW_q rises to several minutes).

✓ Answer checked by Claude Opus 5.5 (high effort)

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