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Population in survey year from design demand 800 m3

Short answer

Work backwards from 800 m3/d including 15% losses: net demand 695652 l/d; non-domestic demand 250500 l/d, so domestic demand 445152 l/d at 110 lpcd gives design population 4047 in 2038. Back to 2016 at 1.9% for 22 years gives 2675.

Data obtained from a baseline survey of a newly formed municipality in year 2016 A.D are as follows. No. of day students in school = 2500, No. of big animals = 4000, No. of small animals = 6400. There are twenty offices, one hospital with 50 beds. The total water demand of municipality in design year with base period of 2 years and design period of 20 years is 800 m3\mathrm{m^3}. The population growth rate of that community is 1.9% per annum. Determine the population in survey year.

This is a reverse problem: the total design demand is known, so the design population is found first and then brought back to the survey year.

Assumed rates: domestic 110 lpcd (municipality), day scholar 5 l/d, big animal 45 l/d, small animal 5 l/d, office staff 45 l/d (10 staff per office), hospital 340 l/bed/d, losses and wastage 15% of net demand. The total demand of 800 m3^3 is taken per day, with losses included.

Step 1: demand other than domestic

DemandQuantityRatel/day
Day students2,500512,500
Big animals4,00045180,000
Small animals6,400532,000
Offices (10 staff each)200459,000
Hospital (50 beds)5034017,000
Other demands250,500

Step 2: domestic demand in the design year

Net demand =800,0001.15=695,652= \dfrac{800{,}000}{1.15} = 695{,}652 l/day

Domestic demand =695,652−250,500=445,152= 695{,}652 - 250{,}500 = 445{,}152 l/day

P2038=445,152110=4,047P_{2038} = \frac{445{,}152}{110} = 4{,}047

Step 3: population in the survey year

The design year is 2016+2+20=20382016+2+20 = 2038, so n=22n = 22 years.

P2038=P2016(1+r)n⇒P2016=4,047(1.019)22=2,675P_{2038} = P_{2016}(1+r)^{n} \Rightarrow P_{2016} = \frac{4{,}047}{(1.019)^{22}} = 2{,}675

Answer: Population in the survey year (2016) = 2,675 (about 2,670); design year population = 4,047.

✓ Answer checked by Claude Opus 5.5 (high effort)

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