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NPV and payback of a startup project

Short answer

Payback = 2 + 7,00,000/8,00,000 = 2.875 years. NPV = PV sum (Rs 22,35,140) minus Rs 20,00,000 = Rs 2,35,140. NPV > 0, so accept the project.

A startup plans to invest Rs 20,00,000 in a machine. Expected net cash inflows are Rs 6,00,000, Rs 7,00,000, Rs 8,00,000 and Rs 9,00,000 in years 1 to 4 respectively. The required rate of return is 12%. Calculate the payback period and the net present value (NPV), and state whether the project should be accepted.

Payback period

YearInflow (Rs)Cumulative (Rs)
16,00,0006,00,000
27,00,00013,00,000
38,00,00021,00,000
49,00,00030,00,000

The investment is recovered in year 3. Balance needed at the start of year 3 = 20,00,000 - 13,00,000 = 7,00,000.

Payback=2+7,00,0008,00,000=2.875 years\text{Payback} = 2 + \frac{7{,}00{,}000}{8{,}00{,}000} = 2.875\ \text{years}

Net present value

NPV=∑t=1nCFt(1+r)t−I0\text{NPV} = \sum_{t=1}^{n} \frac{CF_t}{(1+r)^t} - I_0
YearInflow (Rs)Factor 1/1.12t1/1.12^tPV (Rs)
16,00,0000.89295,35,714
27,00,0000.79725,58,036
38,00,0000.71185,69,424
49,00,0000.63555,71,966
Total22,35,140
NPV=22,35,140−20,00,000=Rs 2,35,140\text{NPV} = 22{,}35{,}140 - 20{,}00{,}000 = \text{Rs } 2{,}35{,}140

Decision

NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required 12% and should be accepted. Payback of 2.9 years is acceptable if the machine life is longer than that; payback ignores cash flows after recovery and the time value of money, so NPV is the stronger test.

Answer: Payback = 2.875 years; NPV = Rs 2,35,140 (positive); accept the project.

✓ Answer checked by Claude Opus 5.5 (high effort)

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