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5th year peak load (commercial 30 days)

Short answer

Grow each class's monthly consumption by (1.05)⁵ = 1.27628, apply 70% coverage to consumer numbers, divide daily energy by (24 × LF) for individual peak, then sum class peaks weighted by contribution factors. The 5th year peak load is approximately 16.88 kW.

From the initial survey of a particular load center, the following consumer data has been obtained.

Consumer classPotential consumer no.Avg. monthly consumptionNo. of effective days/month5th year contribution factor to peak5th year load factor
Domestic10030 kWhr301.00.25
Commercial2030 kWhr300.50.30
Non-commercial5020 kWhr200.10.25

Assuming consumption growth factors of 5% in each year and electrification coverage factor by 5th year is 70% for all consumer classes determine the 5th year peak load of the load center in kW.

The 5th year peak of the load centre is found by growing each class's consumption to the 5th year, applying the coverage factor to the consumer number, converting daily energy to individual peak using the 5th year load factor, and adding class peaks weighted by their contribution factors.

Assumption: no population growth is given, so the number of potential consumers stays the same; growth is applied for n=5n = 5 years.

Formulae

N5=N0×coverage factorE5=E0(1+g)5Eday=E5effective days per monthPind=Eday24×LF5Pclass=N5×PindPLC=∑CFi×Pclass,i\begin{aligned} N_5 &= N_0 \times \text{coverage factor} \\ E_5 &= E_0 (1 + g)^5 \\ E_{day} &= \frac{E_5}{\text{effective days per month}} \\ P_{ind} &= \frac{E_{day}}{24 \times LF_5} \\ P_{class} &= N_5 \times P_{ind} \\ P_{LC} &= \sum CF_i \times P_{class,i} \end{aligned}

Step 1: Consumption growth multiplier

(1+0.05)5=1.27628(1 + 0.05)^5 = 1.27628

Step 2: Effective number of consumers

ClassN0N_0N5=0.7N0N_5 = 0.7 N_0
Domestic10070
Commercial2014
Non-commercial5035

Step 3: Consumption and individual peak demand

ClassE5E_5 (kWh/month)EdayE_{day} (kWh)LF5LF_5PindP_{ind} (kW)
Domestic30 × 1.27628 = 38.28838.288/30 = 1.27630.250.21271
Commercial38.28838.288/30 = 1.27630.300.17726
Non-commercial20 × 1.27628 = 25.52625.526/20 = 1.27630.250.21271

Sample calculation (domestic):

Pind=1.276324×0.25=1.27636=0.21271 kWP_{ind} = \frac{1.2763}{24 \times 0.25} = \frac{1.2763}{6} = 0.21271 \text{ kW}

Step 4: Class peak and contribution to load centre peak

ClassClass peak (kW)CFContribution (kW)
Domestic70 × 0.21271 = 14.8901.014.890
Commercial14 × 0.17726 = 2.4820.51.241
Non-commercial35 × 0.21271 = 7.4450.10.745
Total24.81716.875

Step 5: Load centre peak

PLC=14.890+1.241+0.745=16.875 kWP_{LC} = 14.890 + 1.241 + 0.745 = 16.875 \text{ kW}

Note that the plain sum of class peaks (24.82 kW) would overestimate the demand by about 47%, because commercial and non-commercial loads peak at other hours.

Answer: 5th year peak load of the load centre ≈ 16.88 kW.

For transformer selection, this would be converted to kVA (e.g. at 0.85 p.f., 16.88/0.85≈19.916.88/0.85 \approx 19.9 kVA), plus a loss allowance, so a standard 25 kVA transformer would be suitable.

✓ Answer checked by Claude Opus 5.5 (high effort)

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