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Replace existing machine now; AEC and ESL

Short answer

Assume MARR = 10%. Incremental cash flow PW is Rs 9,068 positive, so replace now. Defender ESL is 1 year with AEC Rs 6,600; challenger ESL is 5 years with AEC Rs 5,728.

An existing machine has market value of Rs 10000 and can be used for five more years. Its value will decline linearly and will be Rs 2000 at the end. The operation and maintenance cost will be Rs 4000 at the end of this year and will increase by Rs 1000 per year for remaining years. A new machine is available in market at Rs 25000 now and can be used for five years with annual operating cost of Rs 2000 per year. Its market value will decline by Rs 1500 each year. Use MARR = [value not printed] %. a) Is it worthwhile to replace the existing machine now? Use cash flow approach. b) Find AEC and ESL of both defender and challenger.

MARR is not printed in the question; assume MARR = 10%. Study period = 5 years (the remaining life of the defender and the life of the challenger).

Defender (existing): market value now 10,000, falling by 1,600 per year to 2,000 at year 5 (market value = 10,000 − 1,600n). O&M = 4,000, 5,000, 6,000, 7,000, 8,000. Challenger (new): cost 25,000; O&M 2,000 each year; market value = 25,000 − 1,500n (17,500 at year 5).

a) Cash-flow approach (incremental: challenger − defender)

Replacing now means selling the old machine for 10,000 (a receipt of 10,000 against the 25,000 purchase), saving O&M each year, and giving up the old machine's salvage at year 5 for the new machine's.

YearDefender O&MDefender MVChallenger O&MChallenger MVIncremental CF (replace)
140008,400200023,5002,000
250006,800200022,0003,000
360005,200200020,5004,000
470003,600200019,0005,000
580002,000200017,50021,500

Year 0: −25,000 + 10,000 = −15,000. Years 1–5: savings in O&M = defender O&M − 2,000 = 2,000, 3,000, 4,000, 5,000, 6,000. Year 5: also + (17,500 − 2,000) = +15,500.

Cash flow: 0: −15,000 | 1: +2,000 | 2: +3,000 | 3: +4,000 | 4: +5,000 | 5: +6,000 + 15,500 = +21,500
PW = −15,000 + 2,000(P/F,10%,1) + 3,000(P/F,10%,2) + 4,000(P/F,10%,3) + 5,000(P/F,10%,4) + 21,500(P/F,10%,5)
   = 9,068

PW of replacing = Rs 9,068 > 0. Yes, it is worthwhile to replace the existing machine now.

b) AEC and economic service life (ESL)

For a service life of n years: AEC(n) = [P + Σ O&M_k (P/F,10%,k) − MV_n (P/F,10%,n)] (A/P,10%,n), where P is the investment (for the defender, its present market value 10,000).

Defender

nPW of costAEC(n)
16,0006,600
212,1497,000
318,3707,387
424,5997,760
530,7838,121

Challenger

nPW of costAEC(n)
15,4556,000
210,2895,929
314,5725,860
418,3625,793
521,7155,728

Example (defender, n = 1): (10,000 + 4,000/1.1 − 8,400/1.1) × 1.1 = 6,600.

  • Defender: AEC is lowest at n = 1, so ESL(defender) = 1 year, AEC = Rs 6,600.
  • Challenger: AEC keeps falling to n = 5, so ESL(challenger) = 5 years, AEC = Rs 5,728.

The challenger's minimum AEC (5,728) is below the defender's (6,600), and at the full 5 years AEC(defender) = 8,121 against 5,728, which agrees with the cash-flow result.

Answer: Replace now. AEC and ESL: defender Rs 6,600 at 1 year; challenger Rs 5,728 at 5 years.

✓ Answer checked by Claude Opus 5.5 (high effort)

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