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Load duration curve; diesel plant; ROR flow duration

Short answer

The imports of 50 MW, 55 MW, and 100 MW exactly cover the deficits in Falgun, Chaitra, and Baisakh, so no diesel plant is needed (0 MW). A ROR plant would require a flow duration curve given by Q = P/(9.81ηH); with example H=100 m, η=0.85, flows range from about 660 m³/s (8.3% exceedance) to 120 m³/s (100% exceedance).

The power supplied by the state electricity authority throughout the year by a steam power plant is as shown in the table below.

MonthPower supplied (MW)
Jestha550
Asar500
Shrawan450
Bhadra380
Asoj330
Kartik280
Mangsir250
Poush220
Magh200
Falgun150
Chaitra145
Baisakh100

But the current demand forced them to have load shedding. To minimize the load shedding by providing at least power equivalent to the Magh month throughout the year, the Authority has decided to import power from a neighbouring country for only 3 months, i.e. Falgun, Chaitra and Baisakh, as 50 MW, 55 MW and 100 MW respectively. a) Despite importing power, the authority felt that they cannot provide uniform power of Magh throughout. So they decide to have a diesel plant for the deficit. Estimate the minimum capacity of the diesel plant. (Use load duration curve for analysis.) b) If instead of the above system (steam plant + import + diesel plant), the Authority has planned to provide the power in the near future by constructing a ROR hydropower plant by its own to substitute the current model, derive the flow duration curve for such a new hydro project to supply the power demand given in the table. Assume power demand is constant in future.

Each month is taken as 1/12 of the year (8.33% of the time). The months are already in descending order of power, so the table is the load duration curve (LDC).

a) Load duration curve and diesel plant

RankMonthPower (MW)% of time exceeded
1Jestha5508.3
2Asar50016.7
3Shrawan45025.0
4Bhadra38033.3
5Asoj33041.7
6Kartik28050.0
7Mangsir25058.3
8Poush22066.7
9Magh20075.0
10Falgun15083.3
11Chaitra14591.7
12Baisakh100100.0
 MW
 550 |*
 500 | *
 450 |  *
 380 |   *
 330 |    *
 280 |     *
 250 |      *
 220 |       *
 200 |--------*---- Magh level (target)
 150 |         *
 145 |          *
 100 |           *
     +------------------------
      0   25   50   75   100 %

Target: at least the Magh power, 200 MW, in every month. Months below 200 MW and their deficits:

MonthSteam supply (MW)Deficit to 200 MWImport (MW)Remaining deficit
Falgun15050500
Chaitra14555550
Baisakh1001001000

The import in these three months is exactly equal to the deficits, so on the LDC the supply is at or above 200 MW for 100% of the time and no further deficit is left to be covered by the diesel plant. The minimum diesel capacity needed is therefore 0 MW for the stated imports. If the imports were not available, or fell short by xx MW in a month, the minimum diesel plant would be the largest remaining deficit: with no import at all it would be the largest gap, 100 MW (in Baisakh), and it would run only for about 25% of the time (energy ≈ (50+55+100) MW × 730 h = 149,650 MWh/year).

b) Flow duration curve for a RoR hydro plant

A constant (future) demand equal to the table has to be met by the hydropower plant, so the required flow follows from

Q=P9.81 η HQ = \frac{P}{9.81\,\eta\,H}

Head and efficiency are not given, so assume H=100H=100 m and η=0.85\eta=0.85: 9.81×0.85×100=833.859.81\times0.85\times100 = 833.85 kW per m³/s, i.e. Q=P/833.85Q=P/833.85 with PP in kW. The FDC has the same shape as the LDC.

RankPower (MW)Flow Q (m³/s)% of time exceeded
1550659.68.3
2500599.616.7
3450539.725.0
4380455.733.3
5330395.841.7
6280335.850.0
7250299.858.3
8220263.866.7
9200239.975.0
10150179.983.3
11145173.991.7
12100119.9100.0

So the flow required is 659.6 m³/s for 8.3% of the time, 263.8 m³/s for about 67% of the time and at least 119.9 m³/s all the year (flow scales as 1/(ηH)1/(\eta H) for other values). The plant must be able to deliver 550 MW; for the minimum months the river must provide at least the flow of the Baisakh row.

Answer: (a) diesel capacity = 0 MW with the stated imports (deficits 50, 55, 100 MW are fully covered); (b) FDC as tabulated, with Q = P/(9.81ηH).

✓ Answer checked by Claude Opus 5.5 (high effort)

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